Parameter estimation and fractional derivatives of dengue transmission model

Windarto, ,- and Muhammad Altaf Khan, ,- and Fatmawati, ,- (2020) Parameter estimation and fractional derivatives of dengue transmission model. AIMS Mathematics, 5 (3). pp. 2758-2779. ISSN 2473-6988

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In this paper, we propose a parameter estimation of dengue fever transmission model using a particle swarm optimization method. This method is applied to estimate the parameters of the host-vector and SIR type dengue transmission models by using cumulative data of dengue patient in East Java province, Indonesia. Based on the parameter values, the basic reproduction number of both models are greater than one and obtained their value for SIR is Ro=1.4159 and for vector host is Ro=1.1474 . We then formulate the models in fractional Atangana-Baleanu derivative that possess the property of nonlocal and nonsingular kernel that has been remained effective to many real-life problems. A numerical procedure for the solution of the model SIR model is shown. Some specific numerical values are considered to obtain the graphical results for both the SIR and Vector Host model. We show that the model vector host provide good results for data fitting than that of the SIR model.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: dengue model, parameter estimation, particle swarm optimization method, Atangana-Baleanu derivative
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA1 Mathematics (General)
Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA297-299.4 Numerical Analysis
Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA370-387 Differential Equations
Divisions: 08. Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi > Matematika
Muhammad Altaf Khan, ,-UNSPECIFIED
Fatmawati, ,-UNSPECIFIED
Depositing User: Mr Vega Andi Budiman
Date Deposited: 23 Jun 2023 23:50
Last Modified: 24 Jun 2023 09:30
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